﻿WEBVTT

1
00:00:06.330 --> 00:00:09.060
<v 0>I'm Jenipher Nevin, and I'm joined today by Brian Carney.</v>

2
00:00:09.300 --> 00:00:11.400
Thank you for being here. Now,

3
00:00:11.400 --> 00:00:14.010
the Federal Reserve has been in the news quite a bit lately.

4
00:00:14.460 --> 00:00:16.050
What's Canso's opinion on this?

5
00:00:16.710 --> 00:00:17.910
<v 1>Jen, in the old days,</v>

6
00:00:18.360 --> 00:00:21.930
all you had to do if you wanted to understand Federal Reserve policy was read

7
00:00:21.930 --> 00:00:23.910
the meeting minutes. These days,

8
00:00:24.090 --> 00:00:27.630
you have to be aware of the political pressure that's being placed on the

9
00:00:27.630 --> 00:00:32.460
Fed. And the president has been a vocal critic of the

10
00:00:32.460 --> 00:00:33.960
current chairman, Mr. Powell.

11
00:00:33.960 --> 00:00:37.860
And the president would like to see lower interest rates to

12
00:00:37.860 --> 00:00:42.480
stimulate higher economic growth and presumably a much higher stock market.

13
00:00:43.050 --> 00:00:43.770
And on Friday,

14
00:00:43.770 --> 00:00:48.750
the president nominated Stephen Moore to the Board of Governors

15
00:00:48.750 --> 00:00:51.990
of the Fed. And if Mr. Moore is confirmed,

16
00:00:52.530 --> 00:00:56.370
he is likely to be a vocal proponent of the president's agenda,

17
00:00:56.370 --> 00:01:00.090
which ultimately will mean lower interest rates and higher inflation.

18
00:01:01.020 --> 00:01:04.620
<v 0>So is politics influencing policy, and why would that be important?</v>

19
00:01:05.190 --> 00:01:08.520
<v 1>The short answer is possibly. Let's talk about what we know.</v>

20
00:01:09.000 --> 00:01:11.070
We know the U.S. economy is moderating;

21
00:01:11.400 --> 00:01:14.520
it expanded 2.6% in the latest quarter.

22
00:01:15.240 --> 00:01:19.350
We also know the Fed has said they're not going to raise interest rates in

23
00:01:19.350 --> 00:01:20.430
2019,

24
00:01:21.210 --> 00:01:26.130
and we also believe they're willing to tolerate higher levels of inflation

25
00:01:26.250 --> 00:01:29.550
than they have in years past. What does that all mean to us?

26
00:01:29.550 --> 00:01:32.070
It means potentially higher interest rates,

27
00:01:32.250 --> 00:01:34.230
most notably in the long end of the yield curve.

28
00:01:35.250 --> 00:01:36.930
<v 0>Now, let's shift gears a little bit.</v>

29
00:01:37.350 --> 00:01:39.780
What is Canso's opinion on the leveraged loan market?

30
00:01:40.290 --> 00:01:40.740
<v 1>So, Jen,</v>

31
00:01:40.740 --> 00:01:45.450
we've been amazed over the last several years at the indiscriminate buying in

32
00:01:45.450 --> 00:01:47.280
the leveraged loan market,

33
00:01:47.280 --> 00:01:51.030
and what that buying has done has eroded covenant protections

34
00:01:51.090 --> 00:01:55.950
for lenders and driven pricing significantly tighter. So, in short,

35
00:01:55.950 --> 00:01:59.490
it's been a great time to be a borrower in the leveraged loan market and not a

36
00:01:59.490 --> 00:02:00.570
great time to be a lender.

37
00:02:01.380 --> 00:02:04.320
<v 0>Well, thank you for your insights, Brian. For more information,</v>

38
00:02:04.320 --> 00:02:08.100
go to the Canso Funds website and read our latest edition of the Corporate Bond

39
00:02:08.100 --> 00:02:08.640
Newsletter.

