Our investment techniques focus on default risk and the cash flows
that support investment value.
We begin our analysis with a full review of the financial condition
and operations of the issuer of a security. We draw upon the considerable
shared experience of our portfolio managers and analysts to assess the
credit of the issuer and to establish its prospective cash flows going
forward. The security is then valued using our estimates of its recurring
cash flows and a long-term discount rate determined by our rating of
the issuer. Growth prospects are taken into account in the analysis,
on a normalized basis.
The purchase decision is key. It is easy to buy a popular investment
at a steep price or a poor investment cheaply. It is central to our
philosophy to buy securities when they are out of favour and priced
cheaply compared to their ongoing cash flows.
We prefer to buy and hold our investment for long periods of time. This
does not mean that we are captive to our holdings. Just as we buy things
cheaply, we sell overvalued securities with market prices well beyond
our estimate of reasonable value.
A major part of our analysis focuses on the underlying financial health
of a company. Companies do not go bankrupt because they are unpopular.
They run out of cash.
Our portfolio managers and analysts at Canso are very experienced in
banking and credit analysis. Before they decide on the upside for a
stock, income trust, bond or any other type of security, they examine
the downside. Liquidity, financial leverage, bank credit and operating
efficiency are all examined with an emphasis on the risk of default.
This determines the risk of an investment and how much portfolio capital
to risk investing in it.